What accounts for well over 70 percent of observed volatility in the stock, credit, and currency markets?

Answer: Endogenous Risk.

Note: No other research group has focused on this source of risk. Indeed, most market analysts are completely unaware of its existence, much less if its import.

- H. "Woody" Brock

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Good Reads

SED's research essays and forecasts published in our PROFILE reports are the centerpiece of our service. We strongly advise you to view sample essays reproduced from our past reports.

(To access the following PDF files, please click on the essay title.)

Sample Essays:

Monetary Policy, the Yield Curve, and Bond Yields - Rampant Confusion (July 2017)

The US Economy, Inflation, Interest Rates, and Equities - Forecast of a Random Walk World (June 2017)

Why US Real Economic and Productivity Growth Have NOT Declined at All (January 2017)

Superior Performance via Superior Price Forecasting - A Professional Lacuna, and and Opportunity (June 2016)

The Islamic Hatred of Modernity (April 2016)

Why US Real Economic and Productivity Growth Have NOT Declined at all - Martin Feldstein's Important New Discovery - (January 2017)

Inflation and Deflation: What Truly Causes Each? What Lies Ahead? And Why? (February 2016)

The Four Reasons for the Collapse in Oil Prices: And Prospects for Future Prices (January 2015)

Path BREAKER: A Profile on Kenneth Arrow (Finance & Development Sept. 2014)

Resolving the Market Efficiency Paradox: The Fama/Shiller Nobel Prize of 2013 (March 2014)

Oh My God! It Happened Here in the Antipode of Gloucester (February 2014)

The Unintended Concequences of Ultra-Easy Monetary Policy (November 2013)

The Fiscal Crisis in Washington: Who is Really to Blame? (October 2013)

The 30-Year Decline in Labor's Share of National Income: Why? (October 2013)